In this paper we propose using a nonparametric model specification test for parametric time series with long-range dependence (LRD). In order to establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistic, we develop new central limit theorems for certain weighted quadratic forms of...

We provide a new asymptotic theory for local time density estimation for a general class of functionals of integrated time series. This result provides a convenient basis for developing an asymptotic theory for nonparametric cointegrating regression and autoregression. Our treatment directly...

We consider nonparametric estimation of the regression function g(*) in a nonlinear regression model Y_t = g(X_t) o(X_t)e_t, where the regressor X_t is a nonstationary unit root process and the error e_t is s sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables. With proper...

A recursive test procedure is suggested that provides a mechanism for testing explosive behavior, date-stamping the origination and collapse of economic exuberance, and providing valid confidence intervals for explosive growth rates. The method involves the recursive implementation of a...

Two distinguished New Zealanders pioneered some of the foundations of modern econometrics. Alec Aitken, one of the most famous and well-documented mental arithmeticians of all time, contributed the matrix formulation and projection geometry of linear regression, generalized least squares (GLS)...

Time series models are often fitted to the data without preliminary checks for stability of the mean and variance, conditions that may not hold in much economic and financial data, particularly over long periods. Ignoring such shifts may result in fitting models with spurious dynamics that lead...

A new family of kernels is suggested for use in heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) and long run variance (LRV) estimation and robust regression testing. The kernels are constructed by taking powers of the Bartlett kernel and are intended to be used with no truncation (or...