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We study the small sample behaviour of two goodness-of-fit tests for time series models whichhave been proposed recently in the literature. Both tests are generalizations of the popular Box-Ljung-Pierce portmanteau test, one in the time domain and the other in the frequency domain.The tests are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769322
We study the asymptotic distribution of the sample standardized spectral distribution function when the observed series is a conditionally heteroscedastic martingale difference. We show that the asymptotic distribution is no longer a Brownian bridge but another Gaussian process. Furthermore,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769358
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006747799
Abstract: Difficulties with inference in predictive regressions are generally attributed to strong persistence in the predictor series. We show that the major source of the problem is actually the nuisance intercept parameter and propose basing inference on the Restricted Likelihood, which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026739
The restricted likelihood ratio test, RLRT, for the autoregressive coefficient in autoregressive models has recently been shown to be second order pivotal when the autoregressive coefficient is in the interior of the parameter space and so is very well approximated by the chi-square...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095657
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005192371
We study the rate of convergence of moment conditions that have been commonly used in the literature for Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) estimation of short memory latent variable volatility models. We show that when the latent variable possesses long memory, these moment conditions have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556285
We study the effects of trade duration properties on dependence in counts (number of transactions) and thus on dependence in volatility of returns. A return model is established to link counts and volatility. We present theorems as well as a conjecture relating properties of durations to long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556295
We study the modeling of large data sets of high frequency returns using a long memory stochastic volatility (LMSV) model. Issues pertaining to estimation and forecasting of large datasets using the LMSV model are studied in detail. Furthermore, a new method of de-seasonalizing the volatility in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556335
We study the asymptotic behaviour of frequency domain maximum likelihood estimators of mis-specified models of long memory Gaussian series. We show that even if the long memory structure of the time series is correctly specified, mis-specification of the short memory dynamics may result in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556354