The main objective of this paper is to analyse the value of information contained in prices of options on the IBEX 35 index at the Spanish Stock Exchange Market. The forward looking information is extracted using implied risk-neutral density functions estimated by a mixture of two lognormals and...

Published also as: Documento de Trabajo Banco de España 0504/2005.

We model the joint distribution between the euro-sterling and the dollar-sterling exchange rate using option-implied markginal distributions that are connected via a copula function. We then derive univariate distributions for the simpliefied sterling effective exchange rate index (ERI). Our...

With an eye toward financial asset pricing, asset allocation, and risk management, I review and interpret the rapidly-growing literature on modeling and forecasting realized volatility constructed from high-frequency returns. I discuss a variety of applications and extensions, including recent...

Although global investors have been paying more heed than ever to Corporate Governance for the last decade, the evolving premium risk stemming from variegated governance issues has not been factored yet into the expected return of any investor's portfolio. From a theoretical standpoint, this...

Risk-adjusted momentum returns are usually estimated by sorting stocks into a regularly rebalanced long-short portfolio based on their prior return and then running a full-sample regression of the portfolio returns on a set of factors (portfolio-level risk adjustment). This approach implicitly...

Risk-adjusted momentum returns are usually estimated by sorting stocks into a regularly rebalanced long-short portfolio based on their prior return and then running a full-sample regression of the portfolio returns on a set of factors (portfolio-level risk adjustment). This approach implicitly...

One measure of the health of the Social Security system is the difference between the market value of the trust fund and the present value of benefits accrued to date. How should present values be computed for this calculation in light of future uncertainties? We think it is important to use...

No-arbitrage implies a close link between exchange rates and interest returns, but evidence of that link has been elusive. This paper derives an exchange rate asset price model with consumption-risk adjustments. Interest rates and exchange rates reflect common risks which bias their reduced-form...

Although global investors have been paying more heed than ever to Corporate Governance for the last decade, the evolving premium risk stemming from variegated governance issues has not been factored yet into the expected return of any investor’s portfolio. From a theoretical standpoint, this...