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This paper develops a dynamic, life-cycle, general equilibrium model to study the interdependent demographic, fiscal, and economic transition paths of China, Japan, the U.S.,and the EU. Each of these countries/regions is entering a period of rapid and significant aging that will require major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281419
America's aging coupled with high and growing old age health and pension benefits augers for much higher payroll taxes, with damaging effects on the U.S. economy. This prognosis is supported by our analysis of a detailed dynamic life-cycle general equilibrium model. The FairTax, which proposes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443380
This study uses Fehr, Jokisch, and Kotlikoff's (2004a) dynamic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of changes in fertility and mortality on the developed world's demographic transition. The model features three regions – the U.S., Japan, and the EU-15 – and incorporates age- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261077
The developed world stands at the fore of a phenomenal demographic transition. Over the next 30 years the number of elderly in the OECD countries will more than double. At the same time, the number of workers available to pay the elderly their government-guaranteed pension and health care...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305739
Will incomes of low and high skilled workers continue to diverge? Yes says our paper's dynamic, six-good, five-region - U.S., Europe, N.E. Asia (Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong), China, and India -, general equilibrium, life-cycle model. The model predicts a near doubling of the ratio of high-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345427
This study uses Fehr et al. [Fehr, H., Jokisch, S., & Kotlikoff, L. J. (2004a). The role of immigration in dealing with the developed world's demographic transition. FinanzArchiv, 60, 296-324; Fehr, H., Jokisch, S., & Kotlikoff, L. J. (2005). The developed world's demographic transition--the roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005502854
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006717204
This paper develops a three-region dynamic general-equilibrium life-cycle model to analyze general and skill-specific immigration policy in the U.S., Japan, and the E.U. Immigration is often offered as a solution to the remarkable demographic transition underway in the developed world. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582170
This paper develops a dynamic, life-cycle, general equilibrium model to study the interdependent demographic, fiscal, and economic transition paths of China, Japan, the U.S., and the EU. Each of these countries/regions is entering a period of rapid and significant aging that will require major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005796550