Following the 1995-2000 period of more rapid output growth and lower inflation in the United States, economists have strenuously debated whether improvements in economic performance can be sustained. The recession that began in March 2001 intensified the debate, and the economic impacts of the...

In this paper we model U.S. labor supply and demand over the next 25 years. Despite the anticipated aging of the population, moderate population growth will provide growing supplies of labor well into the 21st century. Improvements in labor quality due to greater education and experience will...

The "killer application" of the new framework for productivity measurement presented in this paper is the impact of information technology (IT) on economic growth. A consensus has emerged that the remarkable behavior of IT prices provides the key to the surge in U.S. economic growth after 1995....

We present a new econometric model of aggregate demand and labor supply for the United States. We also analyze the allocation full wealth among time periods for households distinguished by a variety of demographic characteristics. The model is estimated using micro-level data from the Consumer...

Models for energy policy assessment have been developed using both process analysis and econometrics. The process approach provides for the incorporation of information on future technological and structural changes based on detailed engineering studies. The econometric approach is well adapted...

This paper presents a new approach to the quantitative analysis of U.S. energy policy, based on an integration of econometric modeling and input-output analysis. It incorporates a new methodology for assessing the impact of economic policy on both demand and supply for energy within a complete...