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A bootstrap methodology for the periodogram of a stationary process is proposed which is based on a combination of a … time domain parametric and a frequency domain nonparametric bootstrap. The parametric fit is used to generate periodogram … ordinates and imitate the essential features of the data and the weak dependence structure of the periodogram while a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956573
addition to time series tools. A periodogram-based test has pros over conventional tests; this test is model-free, seasonally …’s conventional long-run time series tools as well as periodogram based test, suggest that services and goods sector inflations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228714
Second-order moments, as even functions in time, are conventionally regarded as containing no information about the time irreversible nature of a sequence and therefore about its frequency asymmetry. However, this paper shows that the frequency asymmetry produces a clearly distinct behaviour in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399779
Based on a deterministic hypothesis, this paper aims to verify the regularity of the stock market cycles and, if this regularity is found, the ability to predict major stock market crises. Harmonic analysis, or Fourier series, is applied in order to, decomposing into sinusoids curves, find the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278267
Whittle estimation is a common technique for fitting parametric spectral density functions to time series, in an effort to model the underlying covariance structure. However, Whittle estimators from long-range dependent processes can exhibit slow convergence to their Gaussian limit law so that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608102
This paper aims to analyse the seasonality in New Zealand tourism demand from Australia and the USA using spectral analysis. Tourism demand is divided into four different categories depending on the tourists’ visiting purposes as registered in the customs cards upon their arrivals in New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750011
estimation, we find little evidence of long memory in returns themselves, by strong evidence of persistence in volatility … temporal dependence in returns and long-range correlation in conditional volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871685
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445687
periodogram method. In our analysis of evolution of Hurst exponent between 1997 and 2009, we show that PX experienced persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008564633
This paper reviews the possibility that Harvard barometers would have enabled to predict the Great Depression. Based on data from the ABC curves in August 1929, could have been foreseen the collapse of the stock market and the dramatic fall in economic activity?. It is now accepted that Harvard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061662