Effects of fiscal policy on macroeconomic variables during 1973-93 are analysed using a disaggregated macroeconometric model of the Norwegian economy. Fiscal policy is measured as deviations from estimated trends for disaggregated policy variables. The policy effects are related to the cyclical...

This Paper uses multi-step forecasting models at horizons of 4 and 8 quarters to forecast and explain the growth of real per capita US GDP. In the modeling strategy, a priori sign restrictions play an important role. They are imposed not on impulse response functions but directly on the reduced...

The recent reform of the Stability and Growth Pact provides more leeway for EU governments to temporarily breach the 3% deficit limit if this facilitates the implementation of initially expensive reforms. But the implementation of this principle is not obvious as budgets would need to specify...

The recent reform of the Stability and Growth Pact provides more leeway for EU governments to temporarily breach the 3% deficit limit if this facilitates the implementation of initially expensive reforms. But the implementation of this principle is not obvious as budgets would need to specify...

This work aims to analyse the dynamics of macroeconomic fluctuations in Cameroon and to determine the resulting business and growth cycles turning point chronology. The construction of a reference turning point chronology poses some problems related to the choice of the methods to be used. In...

The paper analyses the effectiveness of fiscal tools at the zero lower bound (ZLB). A non-linear New Keynesian DSGE model with occasionally binding constraints on monetary policy and borrowing is applied. When the ZLB binds in a liquidity trap, government spending becomes more effective in...

The paper analyses the effectiveness of fiscal tools at the zero lower bound (ZLB). A non-linear New Keynesian DSGE model with occasionally binding constraints on monetary policy and borrowing is applied. When the ZLB binds in a liquidity trap, government spending becomes more effective in...