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)), and the presence of cointegration only beyond some threshold (Balke and Fomby (1996)). In this paper we propose the … concept of regime sensitive cointegration whereby the underlying series need not be cointegrated at all times. We show that … cointegration can be switched off when a common stochastic trend is added. Alternatively, cointegration can be switched on or off …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005404478
This article explores by an econometric approach the permanent income hypothesis. The classical cointegration analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407948
This paper investigates the demand for broad money in Venezuela, over a period of financial crisis and substantial exchange rate fluctuations. The analysis shows that there exist a long run relationship between real money, real income, inflation, the exchange rate and the domestic interest rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424106
This paper develops a new approach to the problem of testing the existence of a long-run level relationship between a dependent variable and a set of regressors, when it is not known with certainty whether the underlying regressors are trend- or first-difference stationary. The proposed tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750733
-run relationship(s) in the agricultural supply response model through cointegration analysis. The error correction estimates suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582812
, consider a simple bivariate case. Given weak exogeneity of the regressors, the parameters of the unique cointegrating vector … being measured , weak exogeneity of the regressor does not hold any longer, as the parameters of interest cannot be written … as a function of those of the conditional model only, and the concept of model (rather than weak) exogeneity becomes more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005603813
logarithms of Indian exports and imports between 1949/50 and 2004/2005, using the unit-root, cointegration approach. To ascertain … been performed allowing for a one-time structural break in 1992/93. The results indicate no-cointegration between exports … and imports. The lack of cointegration means that Indian macroeconomic policies have been ineffective in bringing exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005607521
cointegration of Portuguese rates and the "puzzle" well known in the literature: although its forecasts of future short-term rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616562
This paper develops a new approach to testing for the existence of a linear long-run relationship, when the orders of integration of the underlying regressors are not known with certainty. The test is the standard Wald or F - statistic for testing the significance of the lagged levels of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005641030
in Econometrica. I analyze the consequences of removing Park and Phillips' exogeneity assumption, which for the special … regressions. For the linear model, the unlikeliness of such an exogeneity assumption to hold in practice has inspired the `fully …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699677