We investigate the incremental information conveyed by management forecast errors over and above the consensus analyst forecast error at the time of earnings announcement. To the extent that analysts rationally revise their forecasts to subsume information contained in management releases, it is...

This study focuses on the impact of the California Non-Profit Integrity Act (2004) on executive compensation costs in affected nonprofit organizations. We find that, for affected organizations, executive compensation costs during post-regulation periods have gone up in comparison to control...

We show that the changes in expectations of future income driven by exogenous factors (such as the discovery of oil, an increase in global demand for natural resources, etc.) can cause movements in the real exchange rate (RER) in excess of, and sometimes even in the opposite direction to, what...

In this paper, we test whether oil price uncertainty predicts CDS returns for eight Asian countries. We use the Westerlund and Narayan (2011, 2012) predictability test that takes into consideration persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity of the data. In-sample evidence reveals that oil...

This paper models the cross-market dynamics in an emerging market regional setting using a homogenous set of international sovereign bonds issued by key Latin American economies. We employ Johansen’s and a modified three-step procedure, which generates portfolio adjustment weights while...

In this paper, we test spillover effects between Asian equity market volatility and the volatility of the two most dominant commodities, namely, crude oil and gold futures. We consider a total of 14 Asian markets. We find that volatility shocks in established and mature equity markets, such as...

This paper addresses conditional sovereign credit risk determinants. In our model, the spread determinants' magnitude is conditional on an unobservable endogenous sovereign credit cycle as represented by the underlying state of a Markov regime switching process. Our explanatory variables are...

Analysts’ cash flow (CPS) forecasts have been the topic of much recent research. While some prior research (for example, Givoly et al., 2009) suggests that these forecasts have very limited usefulness, Call et al. (2012) find evidence to the contrary. We take this body of research forward and...

Understanding how agents formulate their expectations about Fed behavior is critical for the design of monetary policy. In response to a lack of empirical support for a strict rationality assumption, monetary theorists have recently introduced learning by agents into their models. Although a...

We compare the small sample performance (in terms of bias and root mean squared error) of L-moment estimator of 3-parameter Weibull distribution with Maximum likelihood Estimation (MLE), Moment Estimation (MoE), Least squared estimation (LSE), the Modified MLE (MMLE), Modified MoE (MMoE), and...