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By using the Post-Keynesian approach, a link was obtained for international liquidity cycles and undevelopment economies exports. We argue that the international liquidity variable should be included in the export equation for Brazil, which was estimated in this paper. The econometric procedures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989668
It is generally believed that for the power of unit root tests, only the time span and not the observation frequency matters. In this paper we show that the observation frequency does matter when the high-frequency data display fat tails and volatility clustering, as is typically the case for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342578
In this paper, I consider modeling the effects of the macroeconomic determinants on the nominal exchange rate to be channeled through the transition probabilities in a Markovian process. The model posits that the deviation of the exchange rate from its fundamental value alters the market's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086075
This paper brings four new insights into the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) debate. First, we show that a half-life PPP (HL) model is able to forecast real exchange rates better than the random walk (RW) model at both short and long-term horizons. Second, we find that this result holds if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971234
This paper brings two new insights into the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) debate. First, even if PPP is thought to hold only in the long run, we show that a half-life PPP model outperforms the random walk in real exchange rate forecasting, also at short-term horizons. Second, we show that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007867
This paper examines the validity of Purchasing Power Parity and investigates the market integration between Jordan and its major trading partners, namely, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates. Unit root tests, Johansen co-integration test and a vector error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984948
This paper brings three new insights into the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) debate. First, we show that a half-life PPP model is able to forecast real exchange rates (RER) better than the random walk (RW) model at both short and long-term horizons. Secondly, we find that this result holds only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078195
We used panel data analysis to evaluate the relative purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis of the ten ASEAN member countries between 1973 and 2015. We incorporated the cross-sectionally augmented panel unit root test as proposed by Pesaran (J Appl Econ 22:265-312, 2007). For panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921966
This paper shows that there are two regularities in foreign exchange markets in advanced countries with flexible regimes. First, real exchange rates are mean-reverting, as implied by the Purchasing Power Parity model. Second, the adjustment takes place via nominal exchange rates. These features...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856403
This paper examines the validity of Purchasing Power Parity and investigates the market integration between Jordan and its major trading partners, namely, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates. Unit root tests, Johansen co-integration test and a vector error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128468