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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004832143
particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636400
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Trend and volatility are estimated jointly with the maximum likelihood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636497
The stock market is widely viewed as being more volatile these days. This paper examines that perception using data from the past 40 years. It finds surprising consistency across years in the number of days the market closes up and down. In an average year the market closes down 47% of all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008641381
We investigate alternative unconditional and conditional distributional models for the returns on Japan's Nikkei 225 stock market index. Among them is the recently introduced class of ARMA-GARCH models driven by α-stable (or stable Paretian) distributed innovations, designed to capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005727051
cyclical variable captures previously undocumented changes in the volatility of real housing price increases. These volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792537
I explore the effect of banking concentration and banking competition on the volatility of the growth of value added of … effect of financial intermediation on volatility of growth and another one that discusses the effect of banking concentration … competition and banking concentration on the volatility of manufacturing sectors separately. I find that banking concentration has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698307
and terms of trade volatility. We estimate and compare several volatility indicators for Argentina, Australia and New … policies for this type of economies must balance reductions in TOT volatility through export diversification (at rising costs …) and a combination of efficiency improvements and internal flexibility to manage volatility effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698414
existence of significant volatility and cross volatility spillovers across all four markets. Given a high degree of common time …-varying co-volatility among these four countries, investors will be highly unlikely to benefit a reduction of risk if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558633
The objective of this work is to determine the presence of volatility in the spot and futures exchange rates, detecting …, thus, the presence of risk. Identified the volatility, it is looked for shaping it through the construction of models … volatility of the exchange rates. Gotten the estimates, it is verified existence of convergence of these rates in the date of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558766