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Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions

Cimadomo, Jacopo; Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; … - 2020

Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, is among the key tasks routinely performed by economists. Nowcasting entails some key challenges, which also characterise modern Big Data analytics, often referred to as the three "Vs": the large number of time series continuously...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259379

Does business confidence matter for investment?

Khan, Hashmat; Upadhayaya, Santosh - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 59 (2020) 4, pp. 1633-1665

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298856

Uncertainty and forecasts of U.S. recessions

Pierdzioch, Christian; Gupta, Rangan - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 24 (2020) 4, pp. 1-21

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299545

Forecasting Macedonian business cycle turning points using Qual VAR model

Petrovska, Magdalena; Krstevska, Aneta; Naumovski, Nikola - Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija - 2016

indicators performs in forecasting turning points of the Macedonian business cycle by employing the Qual VAR approach of Dueker …This paper aims to assess the usefulness of leading indicators in business cycle research and forecast. Initially we … (2005). In continuation, we evaluate the quality of the selected indicators in pseudo-out-of-sample context. The results …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623919

The Baltic Dry Index : cyclicalities, forecasting and hedging strategies

Papailias, Fotis; Thomakos, Dimitrios D.; Liu, Jiadong - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 52 (2017) 1, pp. 255-282

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632114

Do stock market trading activities forecast recessions?

Chatterjee, Ujjal K. - In: Economic modelling 59 (2016), pp. 370-386

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647870

Economic crises and emission of pollutants : a historical review of select economies amid two economic recessions

Stavytskyy, Andriy; Giedraitis, Vincentas; Sakalauskas, … - In: Mokslo darbai / Ekonomika 95 (2016) 1, pp. 7-21

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649984

Forecasting Macedonian business cycle turning points using Qual VAR model

Petrovska, Magdalena; Krstevska, Aneta; Naumovski, Nikola - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 5 (2016) 3, pp. 61-78

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650063

Herding behavior of business cycle forecasters

Rülke, Jan-Christoph; Silgoner, Maria; Wörz, Julia - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 1, pp. 23-33

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596435

A dynamic factor model of the yield curve components as a predictor of the economy

Chauvet, Marcelle; Senyuz, Zeynep - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 324-343

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596830