This paper performs a two-stage methodology based on the Structural VAR and time-varying parameter regression models to examine the dynamic reaction of a set of oil-related countries' stock markets to oil price shocks. Oil prices are studied by disentangling demand and supply shocks. Based on...

Firstly, we show that domestic prices of net importer countries incorporate a risk premium, driven by higher moments of future nominal exchange rate returns and secondly, using US dollar exchange rates against three currencies of major net exporting countries to the US such as Canada, Japan and...

Many recent papers have investigated the role played by volatility in determining the cross-section of currency returns. This paper employs two time-varying factor models: a threshold model and a Markov-switching model to price the excess returns from the currency carry trade. We show that the...

Now in its second year, this benchmarking report covers online alternative finance activity from the Middle East and African region in 2016. The total alternative finance market volume across the region grew by 48 per cent, accounting for $358.87 million. Africa alone accounted for $181.56m (51...

This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) and ddd to include asymmetric volatility spillovers and developed the spillover balance as well as...

We present a dynamic two-country model in which military spending, geopolitical risk, and government bond prices are jointly determined. The model is consistent with three empirical facts: hegemons have a funding advantage, this advantage rises with geopolitical tensions, and war losers suffer...

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effectiveness of foreign exchange (FX) intervention in Peru, with emphasis on the intervention carried out through derivative instruments. I use two different but related approaches to estimate the impact of these kind of interventions between...

We show that nearly 100 percent of the U.S. equity premium is earned over a window around the opening hours of European markets when U.S. cash markets are closed. We explore two potential complementary explanations. First, consistent with predictions from dealer inventory risk models, we find...

We quantify the role of global production linkages in explaining spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shocks to stock returns of fifty-four sectors in twenty-six countries. We first present a conceptual framework based on a standard open-economy production network model that delivers a spillover...

I exploit a natural experiment in South Korea to examine the real effects of macroprudential foreign exchange (FX) regulations designed to reduce risk-taking by financial intermediaries. By using crossbank variation in the regulation's tightness, I show that it causes a reduction in the supply...