In this paper, we present advanced analytical formulas for SABR model option pricing. The first technical result consists of a new exact formula for the zero correlation case. This closed form is a simple 2D integration of elementary functions, particularly attractive for numerical...

The complexity of the world oil market has increased dramatically in recent years and new approaches are needed to understand, model, and forecast oil prices today. Many models have been explored and most of the papers and modeling projects referenced in this paper identify their own...

Aggregate shocks in demand such as the burst of the 2001 dot-com bubble affect firms' behavior and, therefore, the market structure. This paper proposes a fully dynamic oligopoly model to evaluate the impact of aggregate demand shocks on entry and exit costs as well as on investment and labor...

This paper proposes a new information share for price discovery based on Russell's (1999) autoregressive conditional intensity model. While previous studies rely on equally spaced high frequency data, we use the information conveyed by trade intensities to determine a market's contribution to...

Bayesian inference requires an analyst to set priors. Setting the right prior is crucial for precise forecasts. This paper analyzes how optimal prior changes when an economy is hit by a recession. For this task, an autoregressive distributed lag model is chosen. The results show that a sharp...

We develop a technique of parameter averaging and Markovian projection on a quadratic volatility model based on a term-by-term matching of the asymptotic expansions of option prices in volatilities. In doing so, we revisit the procedure of asymptotic expansion and show that the use of the...

Markovian Projection is an optimal approximation of a complex underlying process with a simpler one, keeping essential properties of the initial process. The Heston process, as the Markovian Projection target, is an example.In this article, we generalize the results of Markovian Projection onto...

We develop a systematic approach to the reduction of dimensionality of smile-enabled models by projecting them onto a displaced version of the two-dimensional Heston process. The projection is the key for deriving efficient, analytical approximations to European option prices in such models....

This paper addresses the following questions: Are the major European stock markets more integrated after the introduction of the Euro? How much of the change in the stock indices in different European countries can be attributed to innovations in other markets? How fast are events occurring in...