This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this...

This paper considers some of the main risks and opportunities currently facing the world economy. Against a baseline forecast of October 2009, it first discusses a number of policy mistakes or policy failures that could lead to even worse outcomes than currently envisaged. It then describes the...

The IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model is used to compute short-run multipliers of fiscal stimulus measures and long-run crowding-out effects of higher debt. Multipliers of two-year stimulus range from 0.2 to 2.2 depending on the fiscal instrument, the extent of monetary...

This is the third chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled ""On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say."" It examines a number of elements in the design of an inflation-targeting framework. These include the definition of the target...

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In...

This is the fourth chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled ""On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation- Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say."" It examines a number of issues related to transparency and accountability in an inflation-targeting regime. It first looks at...

This is the second chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled ""On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say."" We begin by discussing the costs of inflation, including their role in generating boom-bust cycles. Following a general...

Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has developed a structured system of forecasting and policy...

This is the tenth chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled, "On Implementing Full- Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." It describes the experiences of a number of countries with the introduction and implementation of inflation targeting regimes. It...