The most natural way of ordering portfolios is by comparing their payoffs. If a portfolio has a payoff higher than the payoff of another portfolio, then it is greater than the other portfolio. This order is called the portfolio dominance order. An important property that a portfolio dominance...

This paper shows the uniform consistency in probability of modified kernel estimators towards the Baire functions representing the conditional variances and contemporaneous conditional covariances provided the data generating process is given by a strictly stationary solution of a nonparametric...

This paper presents the one- and the multifactor versions of a term structure model in which the factor dynamics are given by Cox/Ingersoll/Ross (CIR) type "square root" diffusions with piecewise constant parameters. The model is fitted to initial term structures given by a finite number of data...

Using information contained in forward interest rates, this paper attempts to assess the probability that European Monetary Union (EMU) occurs and that a particular country participates. It is shown that since the Madrid "summit" the public has become increasingly optimistic about the...

In order to study the costs/benefits of a monetary union between Germany and France, we attempt to go beyond a mere focus on asymmetries and examine what each country would have lost or gained had there been a common monetary policy. We try to identify the macro effects of such a change within a...

We introduce the moonlighting game. Player A can take money from or pass money to player B, who can either return money or punish player A. One-shot experiments were performed on this game. Treatments were conducted with and without making non-binding agreements beforehand. The results refute...

In this paper we analyze in what way the demand generated by dynamic hedging strategies affects the equilibrium prices of the underlying asset. We derive an explicit expression for the transformation of market volatility under the impact of hedging. It turns out that market volatility increases...

The analysis of the replicator dynamic in generic perfect information games yields the following results. In the long run, players play a Nash equilibrium provided that initially all strategies are present. There is at most one ``stable'' component (formally, an interior asymptotically stable...

We compare short rate diffusion models with respect to their implications for term structure movements, the plausiblity of which serves us as a criterion for evaluating the models. Analytically for Gauss-Markov models and numerically for a broader collection of models prevalent in the...

In an epistemic framework due to Aumann we characterize the condition on the rationality of the players that is both necessary and sufficient to imply backward induction in perfect information games in agent form. This condition requires each player to know that the players are rational at...