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When generating conditional forecasts in dynamic models it is common to impose the conditions as restrictions on future structural shocks. However, these conditional forecasts often ignore that there may be uncertainty about the future development of the restricted variables. Our paper therefore...
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analysis to determine these actors’ positions in the “cultural theory” and, more widely, the sociology of risk. The risk … be separated from the risk perception in these countries. However, an eye needs to be kept on the geopolitics and … securities risk factors that can influence the global economy’s evolution. …
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We address the question to what extent a central bank can de-risk its balance sheet by unconventional monetary policy … operations. To this end, we propose a novel risk measurement framework to empirically study the time-variation in central bank … generated beneficial risk spill-overs across monetary policy operations, causing overall risk to be nonlinear in exposures. Some …
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