A conference titled 'Forecasting in Rio' was held at the Graduate School of Economics of Getulio Vargas Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in July 2008 to focus on most recent developments in forecasting. One of the papers presented during the conference was titled, 'Predictability of Stock...

This paper investigates the recent boom od the Brazilian trade surplus by estimating a partial adjustment model for exports and imports. The results indicate that exports quantum is basically explained by the income of the rest of the world and by the gap of domestic output. The role of the...