Showing 71 - 80 of 87,923
This paper uses a ‘trendy' approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953780
This paper develops a model of inflation in an open economy. The model permits analysis of the susceptibility of open … paper arrives at a “structuralist inflation targeting agenda”. Based on a proper conception of inflation dynamics, this … involves “getting inflation targeting right” rather than either accepting mainstream inflation targeting prescriptions or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954770
​This empirical study considers the pass-through of key nominal exchange rates and commodity prices to consumer prices in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), taking into account the effect of idiosyncratic and common factors influencing prices. In order to do that, given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902683
The effect of the euro exchange rate on inflation has taken on significant importance recently, with the application of …-up in expected euro area inflation. However, the subsequent depreciation, since February 2018, might reflect factors related … movements to overall consumer-price inflation in the Spanish economy has increased slightly in recent years, owing mainly to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909231
The paper studies exchange rate implications of trend inflation within a two-country New Keynesian (NK) model under … incomplete international financial markets. A NK Phillips curve generalized by trend inflation with a positive long-run mean … implies an expectational difference equation of inflation with higher-order leads of expected inflation. The resulting two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977289
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries inflation into … over the past six years – especially in turning points periods. Our main results indicate that headline inflation in euro … sensitivity relies solely on a sustained surge in the degree of comovement for headline inflation, it is also based on a higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861123
This paper uses the impulse response from an estimated structural autoregressive model of the inflation process to … elasticity of inflation to exchange rate changes is about 0.02, and it takes about eight quarters to reach its full-impact of … variance decomposition analysis suggests that money supply has contributed more to Nigeria's inflation process relative to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020686
The purpose of this study is to find the effect of the exchange rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, and the …), inflation has a negative but insignificant effect on DDI, while the interest rate regression coefficient has a positive sign … significant effect on DDI in Indonesia in the period of 2000-2018. Each inflation and IDR/US $ exchange rate has a negative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247151
experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the "standard model" suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201664
We analyse the elasticity of the household consumption expenditure (HCE) deflator to the exchange rate, using world input-output tables (WIOT) from 1995 to 2019. In line with the existing literature, we find a modest output-weighted elasticity of around 0.1. This elasticity is stable over time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648943