This paper develops a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (TGVAR) to quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19. We show that there exist threshold effects in the relationship between output growth and excess global volatility at individual country levels in a significant...

Some authors argue that the delayed overshooting puzzle often found in the literature is an artifact of improper identification of monetary policy shocks, like Cholesky ordering. We investigate this claim by estimating the dynamic effect of monetary policy shocks on exchange rate using various...

This study presents a small macroeconometric model to forecast and simulate policy options for the Nigerian economy. The model consists of ten behavioural equations and five identities made up of ten endogenous variables and thirteen exogenous variables. Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL)...

We build, calibrate and simulate a stylized energy-economy model designed to evaluate the magnitude of carbon tax that would allow the French economy to reduce by a factor of four its CO2 emissions at a forty-year horizon. We estimate the substitution possibilities between fossil energy and...

The paper describes the version (2012) of the Romanian economic macromodel. The model has been constructed taking into account the important consequences induced by the integration of the country into the European Union and by the world crisis. Some supplementary requests of the government...

The recent boom in house prices in many countries during the Covid-19 pandemic and the possibility of household financial distress are of concern among some central banks. We revisit the empirical modelling of house prices and household debt with a policy-oriented perspective using Norwegian...

Wholesale electricity markets are increasingly integrated via high voltage interconnectors, and inter-regional trade in electricity is growing. To model this, we consider a spatial equilibrium model of price formation, where constraints on inter-regional flows result in three distinct equilibria...

This paper develops a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (TG-VAR) to quantify the macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. We show that there exist threshold effects in the relationship between output growth and excess global volatility at individual country levels in a...

When the number of variables is larger than the number of structural shocks driving the economy, the associated structural VAR system is said to be singular. We propose an identification method for singular structural VAR models contaminated by noise that combines a collapsing procedure with the...

Analizie poddano modele ekonometryczne z parametrami generowanymi przez niestacjonarny proces stochastyczny. Przedstawiono i omówiono trzy konstrukcje (model Cooleya-Prescotta model ze zbieżnymi parametrami Rosenberga, oraz model z filtrami Kalmana). Podano obszerną listę...