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We estimate a Bayesian structural vector autoregression that allows for time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility in the errors to account for the effects of various aggregate shocks on the real price of oil. We employ US quarterly data from 1948:Q1 to 2011:Q2. We find that aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010679308
This paper describes how the global financial crisis of 2007-2010 impacted trade both globally and more specifically for the European emerging economies, which in terms of GDP decline, were the most negatively impacted economies in the world. Just as with GDP, the trade of the European emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010675515
This paper investigates the concept of vector autoregression (VAR) and cointegration using a bivariate model of global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111988
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345003
Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771139
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The aim of this paper is to determine if OPEC acts as a cartel by testing whether the production decisions of the … different countries are coordinated and if they have an influence on oil prices. Relying on cointegration and causality tests in … both time series and panel settings, our findings show that the OPEC influence has evolved through time, following the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868783
The aim of this paper is to determine if OPEC acts as a cartel by testing whether the production decisions of the … different countries are coordinated and if they have an influence on oil prices. Relying on cointegration and causality tests in … both time series and panel settings, our findings show that the OPEC influence has evolved through time, following the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838930