Gegenstand dieses Beitrags ist die aktuelle und aufgrund der Integration des Staatssektors und des Kreditmarktes nun vollständige Version des Konstanzer aggregierten Ungleichgewichtsmodells für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft für den Zeitraum von 1960 bis 1994. Nach einem kurzen Überblick...

A widely used method in the analysis of complex econometric models is to replace the "true model" by a highly simplified aggregative one in which the variables are grouped and replaced by sums or weighted averages of the variables in each group. The analysis of the problem of choosing an...

Not all markets are always characterized by immediate market clearing, for example due to a delayed adjustment of quantities and prices. Macroeconometric disequilbrium models proved to be a valuable tool in assessing the relevance of such phenomena on goods and labour markets. Asymmetric...

In this paper a macroeconometric disequilibrium model for West Germany is presented and its quality for policy simulations and forecasting are analyzed using stochastic in-sample simulations. The model is built on a dynamic disequilibrium model of firms' behaviour. Due to delayed adjustment of...

This paper attempts to evaluate economic effects of migration into Germany on the basis of a macroeconometric disequilibrium model. Germany has the advantage of having experience with migratory movements of guestworkers. There was a tremendous infiow of those workers in the sixties as well as an...

Mengenrationierungsmodelle erwiesen sich in den vergangenen Jahren als geeignete Instrumente, um Entwicklungen auf Güter- und Arbeitsmärkten zu beschreiben. Wesentliches Ingrediens dieser Modelle ist die Abkehr von der Annahme ständig preisgeräumter Märkte. Als Ursache für die Rationierung...

A widely used method in the analysis of complex econometric models is to replace the "true model" by an aggregative one in which the variables are grouped and replaced by sums or weighted averages of the variables in each group. The analysis of the problem of choosing an aggregative model...

Efficient routines for multidimensional numerical integration are provided by quasi-Monte Carlo methods. These methods are based on evaluating the integrand at a set of representative points of the integration area. A set may be called representative if it shows a low discrepancy. However, in...

Universitäten und andere Hochschulen haben prägende Wirkung auf die Städte und Regionen, in denen sie angesiedelt sind. Neben unmittelbaren Effekten als großer Arbeitgeber und Nachfrager nach Gütern und Dienstleistungen ergeben sich mittelbare Effekte durch die Ausgaben der Beschäftigten...

The financial and economic crisis has drawn attention to the need for a better understanding of destabilising effects that arise in the financial sector and spill over to the real economy. In turn, weakening economic conditions are likely to feed back to the financial sector, thus giving rise to...