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We present a methodology to assess the profitability of a capital intensive industry over a business cycle and to make projections of profitability for different investment strategies under various hypothetical scenarios for environmental and competition policies. The methodology is applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821134
In this study, we attempt to calculate the term structure of the interest rate under partial information using a model in which the mean reversion level of the short rate changes in accordance with a regime shift in the economy. Under partial information, an investor observes the history of only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008914066
This paper presents a simple model of the firm life cycle that cap- tures several stylized economic and financial features which usually require considerably more demanding approaches. We study the opti- mal capital accumulation policy of a financially constrained firm whose revenue is subject...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922940
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008926005
This paper attempts to assess the level of synchronization between the business cycles of Poland’s regions and those of the country as a whole. The measure of economic activity was an index of total industrial output sold, recorded monthly from January 1999 to December 2008, adjusted for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001869
This paper presents the results of an empirical investigation trying to explain individual time-to-degree variances with business cycle fluctuations. Assuming that students determine the optimum study length at university weighing up the cost of an additional semester against the consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008603440
In this paper, we aim at assessing Markov-switching and threshold models in their ability to identify turning points of economic cycles. By using vintage data that are updated on a monthly basis, we compare their ability to detect ex-post the occurrence of turning points of the classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008622023
resultant credit restriction by turning to other banks. Importantly the bank-lending channel is notably stronger when we account …To identify credit availability we analyze the extensive and intensive margins of lending with loan applications and … reduce loan granting, especially to firms or from banks with lower capital or liquidity ratios. Moreover, responding to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565827
We examine the impact of government transfers and the business cycle on poverty in the United States in the context of a poverty function that includes the official poverty rate, three types of government transfers, real wages, the number of female-headed families, and a business cycle variable....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008566171