Este es material de curso para un curso introductorio a la Probabilidad y la Estadistica en Ingenieria y Administracion. Es parte de algunas notas de clases de mis cursos en Español sobre esos temas. Cuando se toman decisiones y existen eventos futuros y desconocidos la unica razon por la cual...

Este es material de curso para un curso introductorio a la Probabilidad y la Estadistica en Ingenieria y Administracion. Es parte de algunas notas de clases de mis cursos en Español sobre esos temas. Cuando se toman decisiones y existen eventos futuros y desconocidos la unica razon por la cual...

Este es material de curso para un curso introductorio a la Probabilidad y la Estadistica en Ingenieria y Administracion. Es parte de algunas notas de clases de mis cursos en Español sobre esos temas. Cuando se toman decisiones y existen eventos futuros y desconocidos la unica razon por la cual...

Estas son slides de notas de clase (en .pdf) del tema Analisis Financiero y control que se encuentra ya en SSRN. En estos slides se explica detalladamente los diferentes ratios financieros usados frecuentemete en administracion financiera. Introducimos algunos ejemplos y los slides sirven para...

Using the model proposed by Velez-Pareja (2006) and assuming straight line depreciation we examine the conditions to assure a constant growth rate in a growing perpetuity. Our findings are that in practical terms for a growing perpetuity there are two options: either depreciation life is one...

Frequently analysts and teachers use the capitalized rate of interest for the cost of debt when forecasting and discounting cash flows. On the other hand, some authors (and analysts) estimate the interest payments when forecasting annual financial statements or cash flows based on the average of...

In this note we analyze the tutorial based on the McKinsey methodology for valuing companies. We have found that the McKinsey methodology has one of the most common mistakes mentioned in Tham and Vélez-Pareja (2004a and b): valuing cash flows with a constant cost of capital when the leverage is...

We discuss some ideas useful when forecasting financial statements that are based on historical data. The chapter is organized as follows: First we discuss the relevance of prospective analysis for non traded firms. In a second section we a basic reviews of subjects that will be needed for...

In this teaching note we show how to use sensitivity analysis to consider uncertainty in the valuation of cash flows. We illustrate in a very simple way the use of the traditional identical percent change in the variables and an approximate approach that considers the probability of occurrence...

We examine the proper valuation of perpetuities without real growth. The case of a “pure” non growing perpetuity (zero real growth and zero inflation) is of academic interest but in practice it might be difficult to find. The findings contradict what is generally accepted in the literature....