The Czech economy entered the global crisis with no major imbalances. Importantly, it did not suffer from the FX mortgage problem, unlike its regional peers. This was mainly a reflection of its early disinflation process accomplished under the inflation targeting regime from 1998. As a result,...

A cseh gazdaságot jelentős egyensúlyhiány nélkül érte a globális válság. fontos megjegyezni, hogy regionális társaitól eltérően Csehország gazdaságát nem terhelték devizahitelek. ez főként annak a korai dezinflációs politikának volt köszönhető, amely az 1998-ban...

The paper assesses inflation risks resulting from the convergence of structures of relative prices in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries toward the European Union (EU). The basic idea of the paper is that under low downward flexibility of domestic nominal prices, the adjustment of...

Excessive credit growth is often considered to be an indicator of future problems in the financial sector. This paper examines the issue of how best to determine whether the observed level of private sector credit is excessive in the context of the “countercyclical capital buffer”, a...

Excessive credit growth is often considered to be an indicator of future problems in the financial sector. This paper examines the issue of how best to determine whether the observed level of private sector credit is excessive in the context of the “countercyclical capital buffer”, a...

The recent Covid-19 pandemic has increased the importance of properly forecasting macro-financial developments in turbulent times. Only a limited number of studies focus on how to employ macro-financial models to project key real and financial sector variables under large shocks and unusual...

Motivated by migration phenomena and wage-inflation spillovers, we investigate the relationship between the two and the inflationary remittances built-in pressures. We establish a feedback loop between migration and inflation, and specify a simple dynamic model to identify the pass-through. Our...