This paper traces the history of the failed automobile-trade negotiations between Japan and the United States from the 1970 s to the mid 1990 s. It attributes the failure of those negotiations to a lack of understanding on both sides of not only what was motivating the other side, but also the...

Standard trade theory relies on the assumption of long-run full-employment, thus implying that although trade can affect wage rates and change the sectoral distribution of employment, it has no effect on the overall level of employment. In the empirical literature, it is a controversial debate...

Economy-wide shocks affect demand, supply, and intermediary sectors simultaneously. We dissect the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on international trade by combining information from customs records, smartphone-based human mobility, and container ship port calls. We find that local disruptions...

We study how disruptions to the supply of foreign critical inputs (FCIs) - that is, inputs primarily sourced from extra-EU countries with highly concentrated supply, advanced technology products, or which are key to the green transition - might affect value added at different levels of...