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To slow COVID-19, many countries have shut down part of the economy. Older individuals have the most to gain from slowing virus diffusion. Younger workers in sectors that are shuttered have most to lose. In this paper, we build a model in which economic activity and disease progression are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835757
We combine publicly available data from Freddie Mac, the Decennial Census of Housing, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis to construct the first constant-quality aggregate price index for the stock of residential land in the United States. We uncover five main results: (a) since 1970,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735395
In simple one-good international macro models, the presence of non-diversifiable labor income risk means that country portfoliosshould be heavily biased toward foreign assets. The fact that theopposite pattern of diversification is observed empirically constitutes the international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775835
The US net foreign asset position has deteriorated sharply in the years following the Global Financial Crisis and is currently negative 65 percent of US GDP. This deterioration primarily reflects changes in the relative values of large gross international equity positions, as opposed to net new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938740
Over the period 1972-1986, the correlations of GDP, employment and investment betweenthe United States and an aggregate of Europe, Canada and Japan were respectively 0.76,0.66, and 0.63. For the period 1986 to 2000 the same correlations were much lower: 0.26,0.03, and -0.07 (real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769236
In simple one-good international macro models, the presence of non-diversifiable labor income risk means that country portfolios should be heavily biased toward foreign assets. The fact that the opposite pattern of diversification is observed empirically constitutes the international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770984
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872809
In this paper we construct a stochastic overlapping-generations general equilibrium model in which households are subject to aggregate shocks that affect both wages and asset prices. We use a calibrated version of the model to quantify how the welfare costs of severe recessions are distributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025363
Periods of low household wealth in United States macroeconomic history have also been periods of high business cycle volatility. This paper develops a simple model that can exhibit self-fulfilling fluctuations in the expected path for unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027250
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799563