The strong and volatile rebound of capital inflows, mostly portfolio investments, into emerging economies in the recovery process of the 2008 global financial crisis has brought the issue of capital controls to the forefront once again. The presence of global imbalances and unconventional...

This working paper was written by J. Scott Davis (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) and Eric Van Wincoop (University of Virginia and NBER).The correlation between capital inflows and outflows has increased substantially over time in a sample of 127 advanced and developing countries. We provide...

Integration to international capital markets is one of the key pillars of development. However, capital flows also bring volatility to emerging markets. Are there mechanisms to reap the benefits of capital flows without being hurt by their volatility? Are current practices, such as large...

A liberalized, sophisticated financial system, with a premium placed on the possibility of exit, is a fragile financial system. That fragility is manifest in liquidity crises, some of which have substantial reverberations in reduced real output; in risk aversion in the private sector which...

This paper examines the impact of capital import liberalization on the balance of payments when protection takes the form of a quota and when it takes the form of a tariff. Since tariff liberalization affects tax revenues, the analysis of tariff liberalization allows for a fiscal imbalance and a...

This paper explores the effect of global shocks in a two-country New Keynesian model in which US government debt has an advantage as a superior collateral asset in the balance sheets of banks. We show that the model can account for the observed response of the US dollar and US bond returns to a...

We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long-term capital flows, global imbalances, and valuation effects. We present the main stylized facts of the new international financial landscape in which external balance sheets of countries have grown...

Even well managed emerging market economies are exposed to significant external risk, the bulk of which is financial. At a moment's notice, these economies may be required to reverse the capital inflows that have supported the preceding boom. While capital flows crises are sudden nonlinear...

We estimate the heterogeneous effect of the global financial cycle on exchange rates and cross-border capital flows during the COVID-19 pandemic, using weekly exchange rate and portfolio flow data for a panel of 48 advanced and emerging market economies. We begin by estimating the global...

We lay out a small open economy model incorporating key features of EME economic and financial structure: high exchange rate pass-through to import prices, low passthrough to export prices and shallow domestic financial markets giving rise to occasionally binding leverage constraints. As a...