The recent literature on human capital highlights the importance of investments during the first few years after birth as a determinant of economic outcomes later in life, including labour productivity. This paper assesses the relationship between conflict exposure -a transitory, aggregate,...

En el presente trabajo se estima la tasa natural de interés para el Perú en el periodo 2004-2010 mediante dos modelos dentro de un enfoque financiero: un modelo basado en la paridad de intereses y el otro basado en la tasa forward de la curva de rendimiento. La ventaja práctica de los modelos...

This paper presents evidence on the effect of credit supply shocks on exports. Capital flow reversals in Peru during the 2008 financial crisis induced a decline in the supply of credit by domestic banks with high share of foreign-currency denominated liabilities. We use this variation to...

Historical data and model simulations support the following conclusion. Inflation is low during stock market booms, so that an interest rate rule that is too narrowly focused on inflation destabilizes asset markets and the broader economy. Adjustments to the interest rate rule can remove this...

This article explains the main features of the sterilized intervention in the foreign exchange market and the use of non-conventional policy instruments as applied by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru in order to avoid credit booms or busts in a context of a partially dollarized financial system....

Developing countries have experienced an outstanding outflow of skilled workers (brain- drain) over the last several decades. Additionally, migrants tend to be tied to their country of birth, since they send a large amount of remittances to their relatives. Furthermore, migration is not...

This paper documents the construction of a composite leading indicator for the Peruvian economy based on the business tendency surveys (BTS) conducted by the Banco Central de Reserva del Perú (BCRP). We first classify potential composite leading indicators into "semantic" and "sophisti-cated"...

Varios autores han enfocado sus investigaciones en analizar hasta qué punto la política monetaria sería importante para evitar distorsiones mayores en la distribución del ingreso. La evidencia empírica indica que una inflación baja y controlada resulta progresiva. Por otro lado, un choque...

El presente trabajo realiza una evaluación empírica recursiva de la relación entre el crédito y el producto usando datos trimestrales de la economía peruana para el período 1992 – 2009. Dada la naturaleza de las series, el análisis econométrico se basa en la estimación de un modelo...

This paper provides evidence on the effects of access to telecommunications technologies on agricultural profitability and human capital investment decisions among highly isolated villages in rural Peru. I exploit a quasi-natural experiment, in which the Peruvian government through the Fund for...