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not only the standard arguments like expected prices but also risk. We extend Lin's work [1991, 1992] by modelling supply … national Chinese agricultural supply is price and price risk responsive. Further, we fit our model to data for North, Northeast … national level, Chinese agriculture is found to be price and price risk responsive. The regional analyses suggest that …
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The present paper has two main objectives: first, to accurately estimate commodity price uncertainty; and second to analyze the uncertainty connectedness among commodity markets and the macroeconomic uncertainty, using the time-varying vector-autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model. We use eight main...
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