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In the time domain, the observed cyclical behavior of the real wage hides a range of economic influences that give rise to cycles of differing lengths and strengths. This may serve to produce a distorted picture of wage cyclicality. Here, we deploy frequency domain methods that allow us to asses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465957
In this study, co-movements and causality of international interest rates are analyzed. We use spectral analysis to find co-movements and lead and lag relationships and the transfer function model to examine causality. Using the Granger causality test, we identify unidirectional movements from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004975668
We develop multivariate measures of synchronicity and co-movement of business cycles. In addition to synchronicity, the co-movement measure takes differences between cycle amplitudes into account that have been overlooked in most previous studies. We apply the new measures to the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274041
Optimal currency area theory suggests that business cycle co-movement is a sufficient condition for monetary union, particularly if there are low levels of labour mobility between potential members of the monetary union. Previous studies of co-movement of business cycle variables found that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014777914
Standard theory predicts that financial integration leads to a lower degree of business cycle synchronization. Surprisingly, cross-country studies find the opposite. Our contribution is to document the theoretically predicted negative effect of financial integration on business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041098
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005005602
We develop multivariate measures of synchronicity and co-movement of business cycles. In addition to synchronicity, the co-movement measure takes differences between cycle amplitudes into account that have been overlooked in most previous studies. We apply the new measures to the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766179
Optimal currency area theory suggests that business cycle co-movement is a sufficient condition for monetary union, particularly if there are low levels of labour mobility between potential members of the monetary union. Previous studies of co-movement of business cycle variables found that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771135
In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550237