Showing 91 - 100 of 28,659
This paper proves that the (negative) certainty equivalent (CE) in reference-dependent decision theories (such as Prospect Theory) always satisfies the well-known axiomatic characterisation of a monetary risk measure, although in rational Expected Utility Theory this only holds in special cases....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405991
Consistency ratio (CR) is a very important indicator for achieving the reliability of an individual’s pairwise comparisons in Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Although the applications of fuzzy AHP need this kind of CR results as well, only a few of studies include these results. The most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014164636
Scoring rules that elicit an entire belief distribution through the elicitation of point beliefs are time-consuming and demand considerable cognitive e¤ort. Moreover, the results are valid only when agents are risk-neutral or when one uses probabilistic rules. We investigate a class of rules in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008455570
We focus on four stylized facts of behavior under risk. Decision makers: (1) Overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities. (2) Ignore events of extremely low probability and treat extremely high probability events as certain. (3) Buy inadequate insurance for very low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458599
We study attitudes towards risk in the Rank Dependent Expected Utility (RDEU) model. This model replaces expected utility by another functional, which is characterised by two functions, a utility function on outcomes in conjunction with a probability-perception function. We use the notion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005663598
Normative models of behaviour under risk in the framework of expected utility (EU) or under uncertainty in the framework of subjective expected utility (SEU) are very limited. In this survey paper, it is shown that non-expected utility (non-EU) models based on the Choquet integral allow for much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005663617
There is a general agreement that (a) climate change is one of the most serious environmental problems, that (b) the analysis of climate change is confronted with a large degree of uncertainty and (c) that these uncertainties need to be taken into account to arrive at meaningful policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818798
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but (ii) ignore events of extremely low probability and treat extremely high probability events as certain. The main alternative decision theories, rank dependent utility (RDU) and cumulative prospect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559912
This contribution focuses on the concept of bounded rationality, highlighting the role of psychology in the economic decisions. The work analyzes Simon's approach and his notion of bounded rationality as procedural rationality. Moreover, it examines some major contributions of behavioral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898027
Mathematical algorithms often fail to identify in time when the international financial crises occur although, as the classical theory of choice would suggest, the economic agents are rational and the markets are or should be efficient and behave also rationally. This contribution tries to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698859