In this study, we estimate the multi-period Value at Risk (VaR) of oil future prices under a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with a skewed-t residuals (GARCH-ST) model, which is developed to account for the stylized facts of oil futures returns, such as serial...

This paper revisits the asymmetric price transmission in the U.S. oil-gasoline markets by a multiple threshold error-correction model. Unlike the previous studies, the regimes and thresholds are endogenously determined by sequential model selection. A nonlinear asymmetric pattern is discovered...

In this paper, we use the skewed t copula with a DCC (Dynamic Conditional Correlation) model to capture the time-varying asymmetric tail dependence among MSCI US, Europe and Emerging markets. The empirical results show that it is important to take account of asymmetric tail dependence when...

By conducting a structural VAR analysis on the financial systemic stress in 20 countries, this paper provides international evidence that oil structural shocks impact not only stress in individual financial markets but also their connectedness. The oil structural shocks explain a large fraction...

Xiang Hu Bao (XHB), meaning 'mutual treasury' in Chinese, is a novel online mutual aid platform operated by Alibaba's Ant Financial to facilitate mutual risk sharing of critical illness exposures. XHB reached nearly 100 million members in less than one year since its launch and so far has...

We document a unique determinant of financial systemic risks in China, share pledge financing (SPF) network, by studying all listed Chinese financial institutions that provide SPF business. As one of the most popular refinancing tools in China, SPF formulates a network among financial...

This paper develops an early warning system for banking crises in the G20 countries, with the inclusion of capital account openness indicators. Results suggest that the capital account openness demonstrates a significant predictive power on systemic banking crises, and the impact is related with...

This paper investigates on what drives the different determinants of systemic risk contribution in different countries, based on a dataset for commercial banks in a bank-based system (the BRICs and Japan) and a market-based system (the US). In both separate and pooled systems, the determinants...