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This paper proposes unit root tests based on partially adaptive estimation. The proposed tests provide an intermediate class of inference procedures that are more efficient than the traditional OLS-based methods and simpler than unit root tests based on fully adaptive estimation using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699644
In this paper, starting from continuous-time local level unobserved components models for stock and flow data we derive locally best invariant (LBI) stationarity tests for data available at potentially irregularly spaced points in time. We demonstrate that the form of the LBI test differs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702691
This study aims to determine the direction of causality between national income and government expenditures for twelve new members of E.E. namely Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, and Slovakia. Support for the hypothesis that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010791396
Previous studies have shown that the stationary and nonstationary time-varying volatilities have different implications on the unit root test. In this paper, we provide a Bayesian unit root test for an AR(1) model with stochastic volatility and leverage effect. Monte Carlo simulations show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597527
This paper studies robust inference in unit root and cointegration models. The analysis covers a range of important inference problems including testing stationarity against unit roots, testing for structure change in nonstationary regressions, and testing for cointegration. We analyze these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664707
In this paper we re-analyze the nature of the trend (deterministic or stochastic) in the Nelson–Plosser macroeconomic data set from an alternative method relative to the previous studies. We underline the effects of large, but infrequent shocks due to major economic or financial events on US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577876
We suggest a new unit-root test with a Fourier function in the deterministic term in a Dickey–Fuller type regression framework. Our suggested test can complement the Fourier LM and DF-GLS unit root tests. They have good size and power properties.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580458
We examine the performance of nonlinear instrumental variable (NIV) unit root tests using various recursive detrending methods. We find that the NIV unit root tests using the recursive detrending method of Chang (2002) are the most powerful. They are more powerful than OLS based DF tests.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580544
In the literature, some researchers found that the high persistence of the volatility can be caused by Markov regime switching. This concern can be reflected as a unit root problem on the basis of Markov switching models. In this paper, our main purpose is to provide a Bayesian unit root testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010719373
This work develops likelihood-based unit root tests in the noncausal autoregressive (NCAR) model formulated by Lanne and Saikkonen (2011, Journal of Time Series Econometrics 3, Iss. 3, Article 2). The possible unit root is assumed to appear in the causal autoregressive polynomial and for reasons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819004