This paper characterizes the equilibrium stock price reaction to arbitrarily distributed signals. This stock price reaction is shown to be proportional to the Fisher score of the news calculated under the risk-neutral probability measure. The expression for the Fisher score takes a particularly...

How do firms manage recession risks? We solve a dynamic model with stochastic transitioning between recessions and expansions. In recessions, cash flows decline, cash-flow volatility increases, and both default and external financing costs increase. Firms manage the possibility of future...

Using data on indicative quotes dealers provide to clients, we establish empirical relationships regarding quote competition in the corporate bond market. Market-wide higher quoting activity is associated with greater trading volume and lower trading costs. At the dealer level, quoting dealers...

We take a simple q-theory model and ask how well it can explain external financing anomalies, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our central insight is that optimal investment is an important driving force of these anomalies. The model simultaneously reproduces procyclical equity issuance...

Tweet-level data from a social media platform reveals low average accuracy and high dispersion in the quality of advice by financial influencers, or “finfluencers”: 28% of finfluencers are skilled, generating 2.6% monthly abnormal returns, 16% are unskilled, and 56% have negative skill...