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The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391543
monthly indicators in nowcasting GDP growth. These insights should help improve recently developed high-frequency indicators. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511470
Most macroeconomic indicators failed to capture the sharp economic fluctuations during the Corona crisis in a timely manner. Instead, alternative high-frequency data have been used, aiming to monitor the economic situation. However, these data are often only loosely related to the business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012395297
sentiment in the dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437743
2018. The DFM methodology offers a powerful and tractable means of nowcasting economic growth while accounting for mixed … content for GDP growth in India, a novel result from the viewpoint of the existing nowcasting literature. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110450
indicators are used to nowcast each expenditure component of GDP. The nowcasting framework is found to be a valuable tool in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126572
We develop a small-scale dynamic factor model for the Swiss economy based on an appropriately selected set of indicators. The resulting business cycle factor is in striking accordance with historical Swiss business cycle fluctuations. Our proposed model demonstrates a remarkable performance in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011732586
approaches to the short term forecasting (nowcasting) of real GDP growth in India and evaluates methods to optimally gauge the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209672
-noise dynamic factor models, commonly used in macroeconomic forecasting and nowcasting. We show analytically and in Monte Carlo … estimation accuracy. Modestly increasing the noise level also accelerates convergence. A nowcasting exercise of euro area GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249849
Common sense tells that historical data are more informative for the estimation of today's nowcasting models when … procedure of GDP nowcasting models, in which observations are weighted based on the similarity with the current economic state … significant nowcasting gains for predicting GDP growth in Belgium as compared to traditional unweighted approaches. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450791