Showing 41 - 50 of 62,121
This paper provides a new perspective of fiscal sustainability and financial globalization in emerging and industrial … countries. We highlight the importance of global capital market shocks for fiscal sustainability, a relationship which has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045101
of advanced countries prove the fiscal sustainability while social spending rising? We conducted panel cointegration … tests on OECD countries dataset during 1995~2014. Having done the cointegration tests on Canada, France, Germany …, Netherlands, and Norway, with their individual time-series data, the fiscal sustainability of social spending is shown to maintain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925491
This paper provides evidence on the debt limits and fiscal space for some Latin American emerging economies under the fiscal fatigue approach (Ghosh et al., 2013). We propose the spline technique to estimate each government's reaction function and the sovereign risk premium endogenous to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545587
The paper assesses the sustainability of fiscal policy in Jamaica alongside a large public debt stock, albeit falling … debt stock. Fiscal reaction functions are used to assess fiscal sustainability via an OLS, VAR, GMM and VECM models while … the vulnerability of the public debt stock is evaluated using the IMF debt sustainability analysis (DSA) framework through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545801
growth of its debt-GDP ratio close to its sustainability level over a long period, Japan has slipped away towards non-sustainability …. This is due to the behaviour of primary balance to GDP ratio. The estimated debt sustainability thresholds are 62.0% for … Germany and 176.0% of GDP for Japan. In the post Covid years, Germany would converge back to its debt sustainability level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219531
debt sustainability over the next decade, taking into account alternative recovery scenarios and associated fiscal … persistent economic effects of the pandemic, risks to the Dutch fiscal and debt sustainability would remain contained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250092
This paper investigates common determinants of fiscal crises using a standard Early Warning System (EWS) approach, with a particular focus on the role of the financial sector. We find that the probability of a fiscal crisis decreases with the level of domestic credit (as a share of GDP), but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061172
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191022
We argue that current sovereign debt management lacks important incentives for governments and politicians to fulfill it in a sustainable and long-term orientated way. This paper outlines that the mechanisms to solve sovereign debt problems within the EMU are not only missing the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737515
This paper describes and quantifies fiscal risk in advanced and developing economies. Forecast errors in GDP growth explain nearly half of fiscal risk in advanced economies. However, errors in growth forecasts are less important in explaining fiscal risk in low- and middle-income countries. Most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392426