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A practice that has become widespread and widely endorsed is that of evaluating forecasts of financial variability obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332964
A practice that has become widespread is that of comparing forecasts of financial return variability obtained from discrete time models against high frequency estimates based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial return variability modelling this raises several methodological and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295275
A practice that has become widespread is that of comparing forecasts of financial return variability obtained from discrete time models against high frequency estimates based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial return variability modelling this raises several methodological and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083354
practical implications, our forecasting results provide perhaps the most convincing evidence to date that the exchange rate …,b) literature on forecasting exchange rates, we find that the reverse forecasting regression does not survive out-of-sample testing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549016
This paper studies the dynamic relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and world commodity price movements. Taking into account parameter instability, we demonstrate surprisingly robust evidence that exchange rates predict world commodity price movements, both in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787382
forecasting models reduces forecast errors compared with a single model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903380
forecasting models reduces forecast errors compared with a single model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010666012
Traditionally, the literature on forecasting exchange rates with many potential predictors have primarily only … forecasting horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640711
; financial volatility ; forecasting ; explanatory modelling ; exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003829997
We present a new approach to understanding credit relationships between commercial banks and quoted firms, and with this approach, examine the temporal change in the structure of the Japanese credit network from 1980 to 2005. At each year, the credit network is regarded as a weighted bipartite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132085