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macroeconomic policy analysis and forecasting. By means of an empirical application we demonstrate that these models turn out to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295783
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155552
The paper studies large-dimention factor models with nonstationary factors and allows for deterministic trends and factors integrated of order higher then one.We follow the model speci.cation of Bai (2004) and derive the convergence rates and the limiting distributions of estimated factors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008568536
This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328558
This Paper proposes a new forecasting method that exploits information from a large panel of time series. The method is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661541
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325750
aggregation for the series in the data set. We consider two evaluation samples for the out-of-sample forecasting exercise to … assess the stability of the forecasting performance. We find that the effect of the data set size on the forecasting … forecasting process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610958
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373811
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137376
, their local-factor SVF model is not powerful enough in forecasting Asian volatility. This has led us to propose an extension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101776