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We present an empirical study of the intertwined behaviour of members in a financial market. Exploiting a database where the broker that initiates an order book event can be identified, we decompose the correlation and response functions into contributions coming from different market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922996
We revisit the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cram\'er-von Mises goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and propose a generalisation to identically distributed, but dependent univariate random variables. We show that the dependence leads to a reduction of the "effective" number of independent observations. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009149215
We establish several new stylised facts concerning the intra-day seasonalities of stock dynamics. Beyond the well known U-shaped pattern of the volatility, we find that the average correlation between stocks increases throughout the day, leading to a smaller relative dispersion between stocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680911
We propose a dynamical theory of market liquidity that predicts that the average supply/demand profile is V-shaped and {\it vanishes} around the current price. This result is generic, and only relies on mild assumptions about the order flow and on the fact that prices are (to a first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021663
We correct a mistake in the published version of our paper. Our new conclusion is that the "implied leverage effect" for single stocks is underestimated by option markets for short maturities and overestimated for long maturities, while it is always overestimated for OEX options, except for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025218
We investigate the problem of estimating a given real symmetric signal matrix $\textbf{C}$ from a noisy observation matrix $\textbf{M}$ in the limit of large dimension. We consider the case where the noisy measurement $\textbf{M}$ comes either from an arbitrary additive or multiplicative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185209
We propose a simple framework to understand commonly observed crisis waves in macroeconomic Agent Based models, that is also relevant to a variety of other physical or biological situations where synchronization occurs. We compute exactly the phase diagram of the model and the location of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188917
We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the presence of a meta-order, that consistently generalizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188922
We introduce a model-independent approximation for the branching ratio of Hawkes self-exciting point processes. Our estimator requires knowing only the mean and variance of the event count in a sufficiently large time window, statistics that are readily obtained from empirical data. The method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100153
We revisit the "epsilon-intelligence" model of Toth et al.(2011), that was proposed as a minimal framework to understand the square-root dependence of the impact of meta-orders on volume in financial markets. The basic idea is that most of the daily liquidity is "latent" and furthermore vanishes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105034