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The number of unique trading strategies with a limited number of futures contracts on short and long positions exponentially grows with the number of ticks. The latter reaches today in daily sessions hundreds of thousands. Evaluation of the set properties of strategies may require quantum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869634
Previous empirical evidence indicates that uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) does not hold for target zone exchange rates, like those in the European Monetary System and in the Nordic countries. We explore a target zone model where the market inferes the probability of a realignment of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967932
Previous empirical evidence indicates that uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) does not hold for target zone exchange rates, like those in the European Monetary System and in the Nordic countries. We explore a target zone model where the market inferes the probability of a realignment of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980870
This paper examines power issues for the ADF and four break models (Perron 1989, Zivot and Andrews 1992) when the DGP corresponds to one of the break models. Choosing to test an incorrect break model can but need not greatly reduce the probability of rejecting the null. Break points that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019111
If the researcher tests each model in a battery at the a % significance level, the probability that at least one test rejects is generally larger than a %. For five unit-root models, this paper uses Monte Carlo simulation and the inclusion-exclusion principle to show for a %=5% for each test,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019120
This paper presents unit-root test results for real exchange rates in ten Central and Eastern European transition countries during 1993:01-2003:12. Because of the shift from controlled to market economies and the accompanying crises, failed policy regimes and changes in exchange rate regimes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651623
The classical theory about foreign exchange rate explains its fluctuations as the resulting of a random walk motion. In this paper, such a theory is put into question by performing Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman's (1987) test on the Austrian Schilling - US Dollars exchange rate for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291922
The classical theory about foreign exchange rate explains its fluctuations as the resulting of a random walk motion. In this paper, such a theory is put into question by performing Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman's (1987) test on the Austrian Schilling - US Dollars exchange rate for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572001
The magnitude of risk compensation in equity markets is an enduring puzzle in the field of the Economics of Finance. Bansal and Yaron (2004) and Bansal, Kiku and Yaron (2007a,b) have recently addressed the topic by picking out the long run growth prospects and the level of economic uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575311
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807281