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In the literature on currency and banking crises it has become the standard procedure to distinguish pure currency crises, pure banking crises and combined ('twin') currency and banking crises. We show theoretically and empirically that a similar differentiation should be chosen with regard to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294672
While the impact of exchange rate changes on economic growth has long been an issue of key importance in international macroeconomics, it has received renewed attention in recent years, owing to weaker growth rates and the debate on "currency wars". However, in spite of its prevalence in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381204
While the impact of exchange rate changes on economic growth has long been an issue of key importance in international macroeconomics, it has received renewed attention in recent years, owing to weaker growth rates and the debate on currency wars. However, in spite of its prevalence in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352028
We examine the impact of corporate currency hedging on economic stability by introducing hedging activity in a Mundell-Fleming-Tobin framework for analyzing currency and financial crises. The ratio between hedged and unhedged firms is modelled depending on firm size as well as hedging costs. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262994
This paper explores the linkage between corporate risk management strategies, investment, and economic stability in an open economy with a flexible exchange rate regime. Firms use currency futures contracts to manage their exchange rate exposure - caused by balance sheet effects as in Krugman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266864
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274777
We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534305
This paper constructs an early warning system for currency crises in Nigeria based on selected key macroeconomic indicators. It estimates the probabilities of currency crises as a logistic function of the included variables within the framework of a logit model. Particularly, the extent to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482606
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288861
The study examines the causes of financial crises in 31 emerging market countries during 1980 2001.It estimates a probit model using 23 macroeconomic and financial sector variables.Traditional variables such as unemployment and inflation, as well as several indicators of indebtedness such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148450