Japan has suffered from long-lasting but mild deflation since the latter half of the 1990s. Estimates of a standard Phillips curve indicate that a decline in inflation expectations, the negative output gap, and other factors such as a decline in import prices and a higher exchange rate, all...

This paper quantitatively evaluates a steady-state inflation rate that is considered desirable from the perspective of social welfare, using a model describing the Japanese economy. Specifically, it begins by setting out points concerning the costs and benefits that accompany inflation. We build...

To what extent did the Bank of Japan's liquidity facilities for corporate financing reduce commercial paper (CP) issue-rates in Japan? To answer this question, we propose a simple structural model that illustrates the market for the CP operations and their effects on the CP primary market. Based...

Using a model of island economy where financial markets aggregate dispersed information of the public, we analyze how two-way communication between the central bank and the public affects inflation dynamics. When inflation target is observable and credible to the public, markets provide the bank...

To what extent did the Bank of Japan's liquidity provisions reduce the premium on money market rates over the year-ends in Japan? To answer this question, we propose a simple structural model that illustrates the year-end operations and the year-end interbank money markets. Based on the...

This paper structurally investigates the changes in the Federal Reserve's communication strategy during the 1990s by analyzing anticipated and unanticipated disturbances to a Taylor rule. The anticipated monetary policy disturbances are identified by estimating a medium-scale dynamic stochastic...

We analyze the effectiveness of monetary policy rules in the presence of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates, using stochastic simulations. Specifically, we assume a small structural model composed of the IS and AS curves with both forward-looking and backward-looking agents, and...

This paper analyzes developments in the Japan premium in three markets - the dollar market, the yen market, and the dollar/yen swap market - in the autumn of both 1997 and 1998, when concern increased with respect to the creditworthiness of Japanese banks. Among the three Japan premiums, the...

Duty called and central banks, in response to the global crisis, have risen to a level of preeminence that is presumably unprecedented in modern economic history. The Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) not only had to go with the flow but also led to some heated debates in the realm of market...

In this study, we discuss the overall performance of different core inflation measures for Turkey. We first describe and derive the core measures based on exclusion, statistical and model-based methods. We then compare their performances during the entire sample period of January 2003 –...