We provide a Keynesian growth theory in which pessimistic expectations can lead to very persistent, or even permanent, slumps characterized by unemployment and weak growth. We refer to these episodes as stagnation traps, because they consist in the joint occurrence of a liquidity and a growth...

We analyze the implications for monetary policy when deficient aggregate demand can cause a permanent loss in potential output, a phenomenon termed as "output hysteresis." In the model, incomplete stabilization of a temporary shortfall in demand reduces the return to innovation, thus reducing...

Korean Abstract: 생산량 변동성과 성장 간의 관계를 분석한 선행연구의 결과는 자료의 선택, 분석대상 국 가, 추정방법 등에 따라 매우 다양하며, 그 분석대상이 서구의 산업화된 국가에 집중됐다. 본 연구에서는 1990~2009년...

This paper proposes a new method in which banks and moneylenders can link in rural credit markets. Banks and moneylenders, two of the major lenders in rural credit markets, differ in their information on borrowers and costs of funds. Due to information constraints, banks must deny further loans...

This paper presents an analysis of the joint determination of growth and business cycles with the view to studying the long-run implications of short-term monetary stabilization policy. The analysis is based on a simple stochastic growth model in which both real and nominal shocks have permanent...

We examine the issue of pricing futures and option contracts written on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the change of which is a measure of inflation affecting the economy. Traditional approaches postulate an exogenous process for the price level and then derive CPI derivatives prices by...

We hope to model financial fragility and money in a way that captures much of what is crucial in Hyman Minsky's financial fragility hypothesis. This approach to modeling Minsky may be unique in the formal Minskyan literature. Namely, we adopt a model in which a psychological variable we call...

Empirical evidence suggests that recessions have long-run effects on the economy's productive capacity. Recent literature embeds endogenous growth mechanisms within business cycle models to account for these "scarring" effects. The optimal conduct of monetary policy in these settings, however,...

Growth takeoffs in developing economies have rebounded in the past two decades. Although recent takeoffs have lasted longer than takeoffs before the 1990s, a key question is whether they could unravel like some did in the past. This paper finds that recent takeoffs are associated with stronger...

Presented here is a simplified mathematical model exploring dynamic factors of the economic growth. In particular, it examines two factors affecting the economic growth – first factor is an increase of the rates of product investment and another factor is an increase of the rates of product...