; and, when prices and wages are not reoptimized, they can be partially adjusted to previous-period aggregate inflation. The … joint dynamics of inflation and labor share. This function summarizes the cross-equation restrictions between the model and …

framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. The output gap is also an important variable in itself, as a … value added in predicting inflation. The multivariate measures of the output gap have by far the best predictive power. This … predicting inflation. As uncertainties are particularly pronounced at the end of the calculation periods, assessment of pressures …

model in which endogenous regime switches are triggered by the inflation rate. The model separates a high from a low … inflation regime with both regimes being strongly persistent. Generalized impulse response functions highlight important across …-regime differences in the responses of the economy to monetary policy and inflation shocks. Simulating both regimes with individual …

fragility of leveraged firms in its pursuit of inflation-targeting interest rate policies. This paper develops a small …

counterintuitive inflation reversals where the effect of the interest rate peg can switch from highly inflationary to highly …

Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …

This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical … effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and …) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation …