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of personal income distribution normalized to the total nominal GDP. Inflation is found to be a mechanism, which counters changes in the relative incomes induced by economic growth and population changes - both in number and age structure. A model is developed linking the measured inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413366
The average and median income dependence on work experience and time is analyzed and modelled for the USA. The original data set providing the mean and median income estimates in 10 year long intervals spans a long time period of almost 35 years – from 1967 to 2003. A microeconomic model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413388
The evolution of labor force participation rate is modeled using a lagged linear function of real economic growth, as expressed by GDP per capita. For the U.S., our model predicts at a two-year horizon with RMSFE of 0.28% for the period between 1965 and 2007. Larger part of the deviation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413401
Numerical modelling of the age-dependent personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is fulfilled based on a micro- and macroeconomic model and results of the overall PID modelling. As expected from the age-dependent accuracy of the Current Population Surveys, the model has demonstrated an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413404
Numerical modelling of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA from 1950 to 2003 is accomplished based on a microeconomic model for the personal income evolution. It is shown that the overall PID demonstrates the existence of some fixed hierarchical income distribution structure in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413426
A comprehensive study of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is carried out. Principal characteristics of the PID in USA are established. A microeconomic model of the personal income distribution and evolution with time is developed. The model balances two processes – individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413430
Real GDP growth rate in developed countries is found to be a sum of two terms. The first term is the reciprocal value of the duration of the period of mean income growth with work experience, Tcr. The current value of Tcr in the USA is 40 years. The second term is inherently related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413431
Headline CPI, core CPI and indices for various expenditure categories were analyzed. Long-term linear trends have been found in the difference between the core CPI and the headline CPI in the USA. Duration of these periods is different for positive (18 years) and negative (8 years) trends, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731632
Previously, linear trends were revealed in the differences between the headline CPI and the price indices for various subcategories of the CPI in the United States. These trends can be continuous, as observed with the price index for medical care, or piecewise with turning points between trends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711325
The transition of former socialist countries to capitalist economic system is modelled. The transition is entirely defined by three empirical parameters and the model describes only the evolution of real GDP per capita since the start of the disintegration of socialism. It is found that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008644989