variable for Swedish inflation than the output gap. However, standard errors in the estimations are large and it is in fact … difficult to pin down a statistically significant relationship between either real marginal cost or the output gap and inflation. …

Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical … for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising … underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space …

In this paper we study the relationship between output and inflation for India, Brazil, and South Africa using the … EGARCH model. For India and South Africa, we find evidence for: (1) the Cukierman and Meltzer hypothesis that inflation … volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis …

particular, they focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its … most extreme aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation … decline that was unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive …

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …

This paper provides an assessment of Euro area inflation dynamics based on the distribution dynamics approach. It is … found that raw series and trends have converged, although the convergence process has not been constant over time. Inflation … cycles still lack of synchronization over short time horizons. In search for an economic explanation for cyclical inflation …

Ever since the end of the Great Recession, the U.S. economy has experienced a period of mild inflation, which … contradicts with the output-inflation relationship depicted by a traditional Phillips curve. This paper examines how the permanent … output loss during the Great Recession has affected the ability of the Phillips curve to explain U.S. inflation dynamics. We …

Uncertainty about the future path of inflation affects consumption, saving and investment decisions as well as wage … negotiations and price setting of firms. These decisions are based on inflation expectations which are a key determinant of … inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. In this paper we therefore explicitly analyse the relationship between inflation …

This paper presents evidence on the persistence of inflation in the United States over the period 1947- 2010. Of … particular interest is whether the persistence of inflation has changed over that time period. We use a reduced form approach to … measuring inflation persistence, modeling inflation as an autoregressive process. We measure persistence as the half-life of a …

We examine real uncertainty (measured by the variability of real growth) and whether it impacts on inflation … uncertainty on inflation. …