Showing 151 - 160 of 26,141
spikes in inflation may become ‘baked in’ to inflation expectations, but only among those with the most positive subjective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266698
Consumers' inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for … expectations. These include the apparent overestimation of inflation by consumers as well as the negative correlation observed … between the economic outlook and inflation expectations. We also show that the uncertainty framework fits with some of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272133
informal competition have worse expectations on future sales growth, which in turn are associated with a lower probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351979
This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on the volatility of the Mexican peso U.S. dollar exchange rate for the period 1999 - 2018. The empirical analysis consists on estimating a model by OLS and System GMM that includes measures of economic, political, and financial uncertainty, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616384
This note evaluates how adaptive learning agents weigh different pieces of information when forming expectations with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624298
This paper evaluates how the way agents weight information when forming expectations can affect the econometric … lead to substantial biases to estimates of expectations relevance for inflation, and (ii) that these biases can spill over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624310
Expectations about economic variables vary systematically across genders. In the domain of inflation, women have … persistently higher expectations than men. We argue that traditional gender roles are a significant factor in generating this … gender expectations gap as they expose women and men to different economic signals in their daily lives. Using unique data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655970
Prospective economic developments depend on the behavior of consumer spending. A key question is whether private expenditures recover once social distancing restrictions are lifted or whether the COVID-19 crisis has a sustained impact on consumer confidence, preferences, and, hence, spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661627
quarterly Brent crude oil price forecasts. We examine the expectations building mechanism by referring to the processing of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669291
Prospective economic developments depend on the behavior of consumer spending. A key question is whether private expenditures recover once social distancing restrictions are lifted or whether the COVID-19 crisis has a sustained impact on consumer confidence, preferences, and, hence, spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797254