We construct new estimates of potential output and the output gap using a multivariate approach that allows for an explicit role for measurement errors in the decomposition of real output. Because we include data on hours, output, employment, and the labor force, we are able to decompose our...

Resilience is a concept derived from engineering and ecology relating to the way in which systems react to, and recover from, shocks. According to several recent analyses, different ‘resilience behaviours' are able to explain differences in the economic performance of regions. This study shows...

This study examines the relationship between U.S. output growth and its volatility over the period 1875:Q1 to 2008:Q2. We examine the data for outliers and apply corrections when found. Next, we search for possible effects of structural breaks in the growth rate and its volatility. In so doing,...

This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and government debt for one of the biggest economies in the world, the economy of China. The data were fitted into a regression equation using econometric techniques such as unit root tests and Granger causality. Regarding unit...

This research compares the links between the economic growth and the development of banking credit for the private sector in three transition economies. The empirical results confirm the choice of a case-by-case analytical and time series econometrical approach. Each country has its own...

This paper investigates output convergence for the G7 countries using panel time-series techniques. We consider both the null hypotheses of no convergence and convergence. It is shown that inferences on output convergence depend on which one of the two null hypotheses is considered. Further, the...

Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth. This paper analyzes the reasons behind this disconcerting development. A major factor is the turnaround of the labor market that commenced around 2005. The successful...

The purpose of this research study is to shed light on the causal relationship between foreign trade and economic growth in India. This study analyzes Export-led growth (ELG) and Import-led growth (ILG) hypothesis in India. The author does so by analyzing the yearly data of Export, Import and...

Keeping in view the importance of economic growth in a country's development, this study intended to examine the relationship between the government size and other determinants on economic growth using a time series data over the period 1973-2012. To specify the growth equation, we have followed...

Recently, Fagiolo et al. (2008) find fat tails of economic growth rates after adjusting for outliers, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity. This paper employs US quarterly real output growth, showing that this finding of fat tails may reflect the Great Moderation. That is, leptokurtosis...