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The paper provides probability estimates of the state of the GDP growth. A regime-switching model defines the probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of explanatory (economic and financial) variables regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
as a pseudo real time forecasting exercise, i.e. due account is taken of the pattern of available monthly variables over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825975
; temporal disaggregation ; forecasting ; nowcasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618787
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765842
This paper investigates the role of mismatch between job seekers and job openings for the forecasting performance of a …-of-sample tests that account for the nested model environment, we find that forecasting models enhanced by the mismatch indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401765
using an empirical example of UK investment data. -- forecasting ; time series ; investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728977
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725301
the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008702857
; temporal disaggregation ; forecasting ; nowcasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010030016
as a pseudo real time forecasting exercise, i.e. due account is taken of the pattern of available monthly variables over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768380